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Dramatic slides in housing prices, auto sales, and oil prices have caused—need we point out?—tremendous turmoil over the past year.
We were out in front on all three (click to enlarge):
Auto Sales
Oil Prices
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Hi,
I am new to your site and may be asking a silly question, but how do internet sales affect your analysis? These are predominantly tax-free. I won't mention Craig's List ; )
Thanks for the answer.
Posted by: Catherine Ryan | March 07, 2009 at 11:44 AM
The effect of online shopping has long been a issue for revenue estimators. Bill Fox, who teaches Economics at University of Tennessee, had a study out several years ago suggesting very large losses, but actual studies showed them to be considerably smaller, and Dr. Fox has since revised his view. Most of our tax contacts now believe it is something less than 10%, but it is important to remember that online shopping has been a factor for several years and our contacts believe it has little effect on year to year comparisons these days.
Posted by: Philippa Dunne | March 12, 2009 at 09:17 AM